Artificial Intelligence White Papers
How Long Before Superintelligence?
Overview
This paper outlines the case for believing that we will have superhuman artificial intelligence within the first third of the next century. It looks at different estimates of the processing power of the human brain; how long it will take until computer hardware achieve a similar performance; ways of creating the software through bottom-up approaches like the one used by biological brains; how difficult it will be neuroscience figure out enough about how brains work to make this approach work; and how fast we can expect superintelligence to be developed once there is human-level artificial intelligence.
Originally published 1997; this is second revised edition, with August, 2000 additions.
| Publisher | NickBostrom.com | File Format | HTML |
|---|---|---|---|
| Date Published | August 2000 | Downloads | 8 |
| Format | White Papers | ||
| Topics | |||
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